Israel and the Information War

Charlie, over at Op-For, correctly raises the grave importance of the information war should Israel take offensive action against Hamas in the Gaza Strip. Although the IDF is prepared to begin operating in Gaza, the specter of the Summer 2006 war in Lebanon causes all involved to counsel prudence. Even though many believe Israel was the "loser" and Hezbollah "won," the view in the Middle East is quite different.

Hezbollah's leader, Sheik Hasan Nasrallah, admitted in a television interview that if he had known the consequences of kidnapping Eldad Regev and Ehud Goldwasser, he would have never continued with the operation. The result of the kidnapping operation? Lebanon's infrastructure was severely damaged by the IDF air force. Thousands of Lebanese were driven from their homes. Most western nations realized, and admitted, Hezbollah is nothing more than an Iranian proxy. However, the ultimate blow was the greater Arab sentiment that Hezbollah made an enormous mistake and should never have engaged in the operation.

Today, FoxNews reports Hamas is preparing to repel a possible Israeli offensive into the Gaza Strip. One gunman is quoted as saying:

"The U.S. and Israel and other regional powers were generous enough to provide Fatah security with very good weapons, and now they are in our hands."

Assuming this comment is true, it begs the question of whether Fatah has handed over the weapons it received to Hamas. One could argue Hamas and Fatah are getting along better than what is reported in the media. Behind closed doors, Mahmoud Abbas and Khaled Meshaal could have agreed to the following:

Abbas: Khaled, please continue to spout virulent anti-Israel and anti-West rhetoric. If you do so, I will provide you with the weapons we received from the western powers.

Meshaal: Mahmoud, I would be honored to continue the war against the occupiers. Also, could you please send some of your newly-trained security personnel to us? We would like to compare the West's tactics with those we learned from the Al-Qods force.

Abbas: I would be delighted to do so.

Could this conversation have happened? Perhaps. Both Hamas and Fatah have the same goal, ridding the world of Israel. If they looked past their differences and began to work collaboratively, these groups could be on the verge of completely fooling the Western world. Abbas said all the right things at Annapolis to imply he's interested in a peaceful, two-state solution. Nevertheless, the two-state solution has been on the table for over a decade, but has never been acted upon.

The common thread between today's Hamas press release and the releases of Hezbollah in the summer of 2006 is the continued propaganda war against Israel. Lebanon still smarts from the destruction wrought by Hezbollah's ill-conceived plan to kidnap Israeli soldiers. Gaza has been reduced to a shantytown since Hamas seized power from Fatah. The closing of the Karni crossing, from Gaza to Israel, has resulted in Gaza businesses losing thousands in revenue because they are unable to trade goods in Israel.

In both of these cases, Israel has been reactive. Israel has responded to the brazen attacks of Hamas and Hezbollah. However, Israel has not been at the forefront of the information war in an effort to win popular, international support for its actions. Should Hamas step up its attacks, Israel will likely respond decisively. Therefore, before judging the severity of any Israeli reaction, one should take into account what brought the reaction in the first place.